aggregation process in parameter estimation


Posted on May 22, 2019



Aggregation of AR(2) Processes - STATApr 1, 2006 . asymptotic behavior of some statistics which can be used to estimate param- eters and a central limit theorem for the case that the number of aggregated terms is much larger than the number of observations is given. A method how parameters of a distribution of the random coefficients can be estimated.aggregation process in parameter estimation,On the Parameter Estimation and Modeling of Aggregate Power .Index Terms— Parameter estimation, power system load mod- eling, system identification, output error method. I. INTRODUCTION. ACCURATE models of power system loads are essential for analysis and simulation of the dynamic behavior of electric power systems [1]. Having accurate models of the loads that are able to.


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aggregation process in parameter estimation,

Maximum likelihood estimation of aggregated Markov processes

observable aggregated process and also to aid the validation of proposed ion channel gating mechanisms. (see, for example, Colquhoun & Hawkes 1982 ; Fredkin. & Rice 1986; Ball & Sansom 1988). Here we focus on the computational aspect. Our objective is to estimate the model parameters of the underlying Markov.

quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of long-memory limiting .

3. Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimator and Its Large Sample Prop- erties. We are interested in the limiting aggregate model defined in (3). Note that the spectral density in (3) can be usefully reparameterized by letting η = r + d. The parameter η is called the fractional integration order of the original process.

Model selection for Poisson processes - arXiv

the estimation of the unknown mean measure of a Poisson process. We in- troduce a Hellinger . Keywords and phrases: adaptive estimation, aggregation, intensity estimation, model selection,. Poisson processes . ables Λx(Ai) are independent with Poisson distributions and respective parameters. µ(Ai) and this property.

Aggregation Among Binary, Count, and Duration Models: Estimating .

Oct 12, 2000 . Binary, count, and duration data all code discrete events occurring at points in time. Al- though a single data generation process can produce all of these three data types, the statistical literature is not very helpful in providing methods to estimate parameters of the same process from each. In fact, only a.

Aggregation of AR(2) Processes - STAT

Apr 1, 2006 . processes are discussed. The asymptotic behavior of the least square es- timators, the asymptotic behavior of some statistics which can be used to estimate parameters and a central limit theorem for the case that the number of aggregated terms is much larger than the number of observations is given.

Maximum likelihood estimation of aggregated Markov processes

observable aggregated process and also to aid the validation of proposed ion channel gating mechanisms. (see, for example, Colquhoun & Hawkes 1982 ; Fredkin. & Rice 1986; Ball & Sansom 1988). Here we focus on the computational aspect. Our objective is to estimate the model parameters of the underlying Markov.

On the parameter estimation and modeling of aggregate power .

May 4, 2004 . On the parameter estimation and modeling of aggregate power system loads. Abstract: This paper addressed some theoretical and practical issues relevant to the problem of power system load modeling and identification. Two identification techniques are developed in the theoretical framework of.

quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of long-memory limiting .

3. Quasi-maximum Likelihood Estimator and Its Large Sample Prop- erties. We are interested in the limiting aggregate model defined in (3). Note that the spectral density in (3) can be usefully reparameterized by letting η = r + d. The parameter η is called the fractional integration order of the original process.

Aggregation Among Binary, Count, and Duration Models: Estimating .

Oct 12, 2000 . Binary, count, and duration data all code discrete events occurring at points in time. Al- though a single data generation process can produce all of these three data types, the statistical literature is not very helpful in providing methods to estimate parameters of the same process from each. In fact, only a.

Maximum likelihood estimation of aggregated Markov processes.

A forward-backward recursive procedure is developed for efficient computation of the likelihood function and its derivatives with respect to the model parameters. Based on the calculated forward and backward vectors, analytical formulae for the derivatives of the likelihood function are derived. The method exploits the.

The effect of temporal aggregation on the estimation accuracy of .

Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) time series model fitting is a procedure often based on aggregate data, where parameter estimation plays a key role. Therefore, we analyze the effect of temporal aggregation on the accuracy of parameter estimation of mixed ARMA and MA models. We derive the expressions.

PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN A STRUCTURED ALGAL . - CiteSeerX

tured algal population with the aggregation model. We examine through numerical simulation the e ect of fragmentation on the dynamics of phyto- plankton. We present convergence theory for estimating parameters in this model using nonlinear least squares t. The least square method is then tested numerically in ideal.

aggregation process in parameter estimation,

APPROXIMATION AND PARAMETER ESTIMATION PROBLEMS .

Aggregation processes are intrinsic to many biological phenomena including sedimentation and coagulation of algae during bloom periods. A fundamental but unresolved problem associated with aggregate processes is the determination of the “stickiness function,” a measure of the ability of particles to adhere to other.

Comment on “Parameter estimation and sensitivity analysis for the .

May 20, 1991 . Consequently, the number of parameters is in- creased to six, resulting in a more complex formulation of the model with respect to the BLRP model. It is possible to integrate for the variance and covariance of the aggregated process only a series approximation [Islam et al., 1988,. 1990]. DOES THE BLRPM.

aggregation process in parameter estimation,

Log-Normal continuous cascades: aggregation properties and .

An approximation theory of these processes is proposed in the limit of small intermittency λ2 ≪ 1. This allows one to prove that the probability distributions of these processes possess some very simple aggregation properties. This framework is particularily suited to address the problem of parameter estimation. It is shown.

On quantiles of the temporal aggregation of a stable moving .

May 22, 2014 . 4 Model estimation. C160. 4.1 Stable distribution parameter estimation . . . . . . . . . . C160. 4.2 Infinite variance moving average process parameter estimation C161. 5 Application to ASX200 returns. C161. References. C166. 1 Introduction. It is generally accepted that the volatility of a financial market asset.

aggregation process in parameter estimation,

Parameter Estimation - School of Informatics - University of Edinburgh

Introduction. Parameter Estimation Algorithms. Simplex Method. Simulated Annealing. Data Aggregation. The Effect of Averaging. Modeling and Data Aggregation. Reading: Chapter 3 of L&F. 2 / 26.

aggregation bias in maximum likelihood estimation of spatial .

Oct 16, 2001 . possible method is proposed for reducing this bias. 2. An Aggregated Spatial Autoregressive Model. Consider the \Mvector spatial autoregressive process,. H φ P}H + ε. (2.1) with nonnegative (nonzero) \x\ weight matrix, } φ (6ij), satisfying 6ii φ 0 for all - φ 1Е 44Е \, together with influence parameter, P,and \ x.

Consistently Estimating Markov Chains with Noisy Aggregate Data

We address the problem of estimating the parameters of a time-homogeneous Markov chain given only noisy, aggregate data. This arises when a population of individuals be- have independently according to a Markov chain, but individual sample paths cannot be observed due to limitations of the obser- vation process or.

Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Seasonal Time .

It is not so serious for long-term forecasting particularly when the nonseasonal component is stationary. There is no loss in efiiciency due to aggregation if the basic model is a purely seasonal process. ' a ,. INFORMATION LOSS DUE TO AGGREGATION IN. PARAMETER ESTIMATION. Parameter Estimation of 21 Seasonal.

Developments in Modelling Risk Aggregation - Bank for .

strategy to conduct heterogeneous activities and thereby spread their exposures across different types of risks in general are more purposeful about identifying high-level diversification benefits through the aggregation process. This focus is reflected in the aggregation methods chosen and the parameter estimates used.

Carryover Effects and Temporal Aggregation in a Partial Adjustment .

Some suggestions are provided for estimating the exact specifications in such a way that the obtained parameter estimates provide correct insights into the underlying response process. (Marketing; Econometrics; Aggregation). 1. Introduction. Econometric measurement of sales response to advertising has traditionally.

Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Seasonal Time .

It is not so serious for long-term forecasting particularly when the nonseasonal component is stationary. There is no loss in efficiency due to aggregation if the basic model is a purely seasonal process. INFORMATION LOSS DUE TO AGGREGATION IN. PARAMETER ESTIMATION. Parameter Estimation of a Seasonal Model.

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